Why can't we predict the turning point of the epidemic? Will the epidemic end by the end of February?

People all over the country are looking forward to the turning point of the epidemic. As the number of newly confirmed cases in the news increases every day and the Lantern Festival approaches, many people are worried that the epidemic will be difficult to control. When will the turning point of the epidemic mentioned by experts come? Why can't the turning point of the epidemic be predicted? Let's take a look!

Why can’t we predict the turning point of the epidemic?

The turning point refers to the turning point where the number of people first remains stable, then rapidly decreases, and finally returns to normal or eliminates the disease. The reason why it is difficult to judge the turning point now is that

① The epidemic situation is not clear enough, and there is insufficient basis for judgment. Many people have not been isolated, and the spread in the community and family is quite serious;

②The mutation of the virus is unpredictable;

③The large number of people returning home is a challenge;

④Perhaps there is also the factor of warming weather.

Will the epidemic end by the end of February?

Judging from the current situation

In February, the number of infections should be under control within a month, and the number of confirmed cases should be at least below 100,000. A conservative estimate is around 50,000.

In March, the specific medicine just reported today or a better specific medicine that has not yet been discovered will be used for clinical treatment, and most patients will be cured quickly. In terms of infection, it should only spread in a small range and will not spread over a large area.

In April, with the warming weather and the further improvement of drug use, our country has finally basically won this battle. The morale of the people across the country has greatly boosted, laying the foundation for the comprehensive building of a moderately prosperous society. At the same time, we must strongly commend the leaders at all levels who commanded immediately and remained calm in the face of danger during the epidemic, and strive to achieve the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation!

How did the epidemic happen?

The new coronavirus is said to be caused by a man eating a bat. Many wild animals contain viruses that are harmful to the human body, so don't eat them casually. The consequences will harm others and yourself, and endanger public safety.

Related News

The epidemic cannot determine the turning point. There are many uncertain factors. The core is the variability of the virus, especially the coronavirus, a new coronavirus with single-stranded genetic material deoxyribonucleic acid. In addition, the human-to-human transmission route is determined. The number of epidemics is unstable every day. Factors including the source of infection, the transmission route, the possible mutation of the virus, the stage of drug development for the virus, etc. will make the epidemic unpredictable.