What is the prospect of chicken farming in 2020? Is the profit of chicken farming high in 2020? Market forecast

This year, the poultry industry, whether it is laying hens or broiler chickens, is in a period of very high profits. The price of eggs has risen from about 2.70 yuan per catty at the beginning of the year to 5.76 yuan, which can be said to be a doubling. The price of broilers has also been rising. The wholesale price of white-striped chickens has risen from about 7.5 yuan per catty last year to about 12 yuan and 4.5 yuan per catty, an increase of 60%. So, what is the prospect of chicken farming next year? Let's take a look!

What is the prospect of chicken farming in 2020?

The first reason is that pork prices will remain high, which will support the prices of eggs and broilers. There is a saying in the market now that as long as pork does not fall in price, chicken prices will rise. Now it seems that this saying is not groundless. In fact, it has been proven that according to the monitoring data of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs on October 24, the national wholesale price of white-striped chicken reached 20.39 yuan/kg, which is 10.2 yuan per catty. However, in recent days, many netizens have reported that the wholesale price of chicken breast in some places has reached 12 yuan per catty, which is indeed highly correlated with pork. According to analysis, even if the prices of pigs and pork fall in the next year of 2020, the room for decline will be relatively limited. Pork will most likely remain at 20-25 yuan per catty. In this case, chicken is still a hot commodity and the price cannot be reduced.

The second reason is that chicken is the first among many pork substitutes. As we all know, among the current prices of various categories, the national average price of beef wholesale is 34.5 yuan per catty, and the wholesale price of mutton is 33.6 yuan per catty. The retail prices of these two types of meat are mostly between 38-45 yuan, which is still more expensive than pork. Even if the price of chicken has risen a bit, reaching 13 or 14 yuan per catty, it is still much lower than pork. Therefore, chicken has become the best choice to replace pork. If the price of pork is still optimistic next year, it will have a strong support for the price of chicken.

The third reason is that the number of laying hens in stock is still at a relatively low level in the past six years. From the perspective of the total number of laying hens in stock, data from some institutions show that the number of laying hens in stock this year has increased by about 200 million. Since the number of laying hens in stock was relatively low at the beginning of the year, at around 1.105 billion, it is at its lowest level in six years. Even if it increases by 200 million, it will only reach 1.305 billion, which is around the average level in recent years. There will be no oversupply in the market. At the same time, eggs are also related to pork. With the high price of meat, it is difficult for the price of eggs in 2020 to drop too low.

Based on the above analysis, although the poultry farming industry may not have the good market conditions in 2020 as this year, the profit of raising broilers or laying hens will still remain at an upper-middle level next year, and everyone's breeding profit is still relatively guaranteed.

2020 Chicken Farming Profit Forecast

Looking at it now, the breeding industry this year can basically make much more money if there is no disease.

However, remember not to follow the trend. No one can predict the price next year. Because this year, meat-related products are not cheap. Personally, I feel that it is generally related to the swine fever. As we all know, my country is a country where pork is the main meat product. However, this year, the swine fever caused a shortage of pigs, so the price remained high, which also caused the price of other types of meat to increase. But if you blindly follow the trend, there should be many such people, which will cause market saturation. If it is time to sell the pigs, you sell them, but the price will not go up and the profit will be small. If you don't sell them, you still need to continue feeding them, and the feed cost will increase.

Because every type of aquaculture has a cycle, it will not always be high, nor will it always be low. Prices fluctuate mainly based on market demand.

I personally feel that the price will be lower next year.

Will broiler prices rise before the Spring Festival?

Based on previous experience of buying chicken around the Spring Festival, the price will generally increase by between 2 and 3 yuan. However, this year the price will increase a little more during the festival because it is mainly affected by the price of pork. So I personally think that the average price of chicken this year will increase to around 4 to 5 yuan.