Why did the price of chicken rise so fast in 2019? Will the price of chicken continue to rise before the Spring Festival?

As the price of pork increases, more and more people can no longer afford pork, and more and more people buy chicken. As you can imagine, the price of chicken has also increased, and the prices of mutton and beef have also increased! So, will the price of chicken continue to increase before the Spring Festival? Of course it will! For the specific increase, you can refer to the introduction provided by this website.

Why did the price of chicken rise so fast in 2019?

Starting from March and April, the price trend was stable and strong. In the second half of the year, especially after August, the price showed a clear upward trend.

Due to the increase in pork prices, white strip chicken is the best alternative for ordinary residents. Since October, the price of pork in the market has continued to rise. The wholesale price of white strip pork monitored by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs has reached 25 yuan per catty, and the retail price in various places has risen outrageously, reaching 30 yuan per catty in most places. Take me for example, I haven't bought pork for 2 or 3 weeks. Today I went to the market to buy some pork. When I asked, the hind leg meat was 27 yuan per catty, and the front leg meat and pork belly were 26 yuan per catty. I looked at it and didn't buy it.

Among other meats besides pork, the prices of beef and mutton have also risen, and are now between 35 and 40 yuan per catty, which is also quite expensive. Only chicken is still 12 or 13 yuan per catty, which is relatively cheaper. For ordinary people, it is still more cost-effective to buy chicken, after all, it is also meat. So now it has become a helpless choice to buy chicken when you can't afford pork. At the same time, due to the continuous increase in the CPI index, the CPI in September reached 3.0%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from August. Driven by this, the price of chicken will also rise.

Will the price of chicken continue to rise before the Spring Festival?

According to the analysis of industry insiders, the price of live pigs this year may reach 30 yuan per catty, while the current price of live pigs is only hovering around 20 yuan on average, which may be a difference of 10 yuan. Therefore, it can be analyzed that the price of chicken may rise sharply in the next 2 to 3 months, and the extent of the increase must be determined by the increase in pork prices.

The price of chicken is expected to reach 18 yuan per catty during the Spring Festival. This is possible because experts have analyzed that the price of pork may exceed 50 to 60 yuan per catty during the Spring Festival, which means that the price of pork may increase by about 30% to 40% compared with the current pork price. If the increase is 40%, the price of chicken should reach about 16 to 18 yuan per catty during the Spring Festival.

How much will the price of chicken increase during the 2020 New Year's Day and Spring Festival?

During the New Year's Day and Spring Festival, broiler chickens are at a peak consumption period. Every year after entering winter, the closer it is to New Year's Day and Spring Festival, the hotter the consumption of chicken will be. Because the meat is tender and easier to cook, basically many families will buy some chicken, so consumption will increase and the price will rise to a certain extent.

In short, in the two or three months before the Spring Festival, due to the sharp rise in pork prices, the peak consumption season, the high CPI index, and the expectation of high consumption during the New Year's Day and Spring Festival, the price of broiler chickens will further increase, and the increase may be around 2 or 3 yuan per catty.